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Vue lecture

How Accurate Are Midterm Polls? Errors Vary From State to State.

Recent presidential election polls have overestimated Democrats, but midterm polls are far less consistent state by state. The differences could matter quite a bit.

© Charly Triballeau/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

In Maine, where Susan Collins and Troy Jackson are locked in a tight Senate race, polls underestimated Democrats in 2018 before doing the same for Republicans in 2024.
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How Americans Feel About Socialism: What Polls and Primary Elections Show

Public opinion polls and recent primary results have shown that socialism is growing in popularity, even as there’s disagreement on what it means.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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