Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Wesley Bell to join as Jared Moskowitz becomes ranking member on sub-committeeThree pro-Israel Democrats have been given key roles on a powerful congressional body overseeing US foreign policy in a move rounding sharply counter to popular sentiment within the party and likely to anger leftwing activists.The appointments to the US House of Representatives foreign affairs committee follow a succession of wins in party primaries for progressive candidates who put critic
Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Wesley Bell to join as Jared Moskowitz becomes ranking member on sub-committee
Three pro-Israel Democrats have been given key roles on a powerful congressional body overseeing US foreign policy in a move rounding sharply counter to popular sentiment within the party and likely to anger leftwing activists.
The appointments to the US House of Representatives foreign affairs committee follow a succession of wins in party primaries for progressive candidates who put criticism of Israel and its actions in Gaza at the core of their campaign messages.
Nickolay Mladenov, the Board of Peace’s high representative for Gaza, criticized Israel for its ongoing strikes on what it says are Hamas targets, after it rejected a plan to disarm the group.
Nickolay Mladenov, the Board of Peace’s high representative for Gaza, criticized Israel for its ongoing strikes on what it says are Hamas targets, after it rejected a plan to disarm the group.
Videos showed Israeli troops standing by as Zvi Sukkot attacked the monument with a sledgehammer. The military said soldiers had stopped the demolition.
Videos showed Israeli troops standing by as Zvi Sukkot attacked the monument with a sledgehammer. The military said soldiers had stopped the demolition.
The discussions, reported by the Syrian state news agency, came days after Israel struck an air base in Syria’s northwest, the latest in a series of military interventions.
The discussions, reported by the Syrian state news agency, came days after Israel struck an air base in Syria’s northwest, the latest in a series of military interventions.
A demonstration showing support for Hezbollah and opposition to the decision of Lebanese authorities to engage in direct negotiations with Israel, in Beirut in April.
A flotilla of about 50 boats carrying humanitarian aid departed Marmaris, Turkey, in May, intending to break the Israeli blockade of Gaza. Israeli forces boarded the boats and detained 400 people.
The US is engaged in a lawless quest to protect American and Israeli officialsThe Trump administration has taken another step in its crusade against the international criminal court by imposing sanctions on two more senior ICC officials. The growing number of sanctioned jurists – now 13 – does not change the lawless nature of this quest.Donald Trump and his henchman, Marco Rubio, want to make the world safe for US and Israeli war criminals. No one should let them. Continue reading...
The US is engaged in a lawless quest to protect American and Israeli officials
The Trump administration has taken another step in its crusade against the international criminal court by imposing sanctions on two more senior ICC officials. The growing number of sanctioned jurists – now 13 – does not change the lawless nature of this quest.
Donald Trump and his henchman, Marco Rubio, want to make the world safe for US and Israeli war criminals. No one should let them.
The State Department informed Congress of its intent to fund the stabilization force on the same day the president’s Board of Peace announced a plan to disarm Hamas.
The State Department informed Congress of its intent to fund the stabilization force on the same day the president’s Board of Peace announced a plan to disarm Hamas.
Palestinians inspecting the damage to a mosque after it was struck by Israeli airstrikes in July in Gaza City. Deadly clashes have continued on and off since an initial cease-fire was reached in October.
On one side, you face the domination of the Islamic Republic; on the other, the imperialist forces that republic claims to stand againstAugust marks the anniversary of the 1988 mass executions in Iran, a horror that echoes in the country’s current surge in death sentences. It also marks the 19 August anniversary of the UK- and US-orchestrated coup against the prime minister Mohammad Mosaddegh in 1953. Amid the current, indiscriminate waves of US-Israeli military assaults against Iran, this lette
On one side, you face the domination of the Islamic Republic; on the other, the imperialist forces that republic claims to stand against
August marks the anniversary of the 1988 mass executions in Iran, a horror that echoes in the country’s current surge in death sentences. It also marks the 19 August anniversary of the UK- and US-orchestrated coup against the prime minister Mohammad Mosaddegh in 1953. Amid the current, indiscriminate waves of US-Israeli military assaults against Iran, this letter of solidarity denounces the repression of the Iranian people and their political prisoners by forces both at home and abroad.
Two high-profile cases that had spurred international condemnation of the country’s conduct in Gaza were transferred to the military police. Such investigations have rarely led to convictions.
Two high-profile cases that had spurred international condemnation of the country’s conduct in Gaza were transferred to the military police. Such investigations have rarely led to convictions.
Un gouvernement solidaire adopterait immédiatement 6 mesures:
hausser le salaire minimum à 20 $;
plafonner les hausses de loyer aux taux d’inflation;
annuler la politique de retour au bureau visant les fonctionnaires;
créer un ministère des femmes et de l’égalité des genres;
fermer le bureau du Québec à Tel-Aviv;
bloquer les projets de pipelines et gazoducs sur le territoire québécois.
QS lancerait 3 grands chantiers, pour être réalisés au cours d’un premier mandat:
A day after President Trump’s envoy, Jared Kushner, visited Israel to advance a stalled plan for demilitarizing and rebuilding Gaza, the Israeli military said it targeted Hamas commanders.
A day after President Trump’s envoy, Jared Kushner, visited Israel to advance a stalled plan for demilitarizing and rebuilding Gaza, the Israeli military said it targeted Hamas commanders.
Marco Rubio targets ICC’s Tomoko Akane and Abdoulaye Seye, who was investigating Israeli war crimes in GazaThe US has sanctioned the president of the international criminal court (ICC) and a prosecutor tasked with investigating crimes committed by Israel during its war on Gaza.The new sanctions designations were unveiled by Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, who called the Hague-based ICC a “corrupt and fatally politicized supranational court that has maliciously abused its authority and ex
Marco Rubio targets ICC’s Tomoko Akane and Abdoulaye Seye, who was investigating Israeli war crimes in Gaza
The US has sanctioned the president of the international criminal court (ICC) and a prosecutor tasked with investigating crimes committed by Israel during its war on Gaza.
The new sanctions designations were unveiled by Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, who called the Hague-based ICC a “corrupt and fatally politicized supranational court that has maliciously abused its authority and exceeded its mandate”, in a statement.
Intensifying restrictions have hit every part of the territory’s dealings, spurring worries about whether the Palestinian Authority can remain solvent.
Intensifying restrictions have hit every part of the territory’s dealings, spurring worries about whether the Palestinian Authority can remain solvent.
Montaser Amro, left, and his brother inspecting a box of unpaid bills at his supermarket in Majd, West Bank. Mr. Amro said that his customers owed him around $155,000 and that he was struggling to pay suppliers.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has refused to pull back the country’s military until Hamas fully disarms. But the Trump administration is under pressure to show progress.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has refused to pull back the country’s military until Hamas fully disarms. But the Trump administration is under pressure to show progress.
Jared Kushner speaking about the Board of Peace, an organization backed by the Trump administration to end the war in Gaza, during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in January.
President Trump said a cease-fire agreed in June would lead to limits on Iran’s nuclear program and finish the conflict, but the countries appear far apart.
President Trump said a cease-fire agreed in June would lead to limits on Iran’s nuclear program and finish the conflict, but the countries appear far apart.
Trump’s son-in-law and envoy held rare meeting with Hamas chief in Egypt in push for progress on ceasefireDonald Trump’s son-in-law and envoy, Jared Kushner, held a rare meeting with Hamas’s political chief on Sunday in Egypt, in a new diplomatic effort to make progress in the stalled Gaza ceasefire. Kushner will meet on Monday with Benjamin Netanyahu, who is under pressure after rejecting the new 15-point, US-backed road map.The talks aim to salvage the plan for Hamas to disarm and Israel to wi
Trump’s son-in-law and envoy held rare meeting with Hamas chief in Egypt in push for progress on ceasefire
Donald Trump’s son-in-law and envoy, Jared Kushner, held a rare meeting with Hamas’s political chief on Sunday in Egypt, in a new diplomatic effort to make progress in the stalled Gaza ceasefire. Kushner will meet on Monday with Benjamin Netanyahu, who is under pressure after rejecting the new 15-point, US-backed road map.
The talks aim to salvage the plan for Hamas to disarm and Israel to withdraw from the Palestinian territory shattered by war.
The president’s son-in-law met the Palestinian militant group’s leaders in Egypt, officials said. He will soon see Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli leader.
The president’s son-in-law met the Palestinian militant group’s leaders in Egypt, officials said. He will soon see Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli leader.
AOC’s remarks about past excesses have been ripped out of context. Progressives shouldn’t get roped into this sideshowThere is probably no word that has been more used and abused in the last decade than “woke”. It has been rendered completely meaningless, but it refuses to die. Indeed, it has now taken on new life: in the past week, there’s been a flurry of headlines about “Woke 1.0” or “Woke One”. If you haven’t seen the phrase pop up in your newsfeed yet, it will soon.So what is this cursed ph
AOC’s remarks about past excesses have been ripped out of context. Progressives shouldn’t get roped into this sideshow
There is probably no word that has been more used and abused in the last decade than “woke”. It has been rendered completely meaningless, but it refuses to die. Indeed, it has now taken on new life: in the past week, there’s been a flurry of headlines about “Woke 1.0” or “Woke One”. If you haven’t seen the phrase pop up in your newsfeed yet, it will soon.
So what is this cursed phrase? There’s no official definition, but the term is largely being used to refer to the period between 2018 and 2021 when social justice language was at its peak in mainstream culture. Certain progressives, including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have started to use “Woke 1” disparagingly, as a way to distance themselves from that period and signal that they stand for a new form of left-leaning politics that is more palatable to centrist Democrats. “Woke 2”, I suppose.
The Lebanese health ministry said children were among those killed. The Israeli prime minister’s office said Hezbollah had struck first, injuring three Israeli soldiers.
The Lebanese health ministry said children were among those killed. The Israeli prime minister’s office said Hezbollah had struck first, injuring three Israeli soldiers.
Representative Rashida Tlaib was supposed to headline an event called “Chomp the Oligarchy” for three candidates for Congress who face Jewish Democrats in Tuesday’s primary.
Representative Rashida Tlaib was supposed to headline an event called “Chomp the Oligarchy” for three candidates for Congress who face Jewish Democrats in Tuesday’s primary.
Representative Rashida Tlaib, Democrat of Michigan, has drawn criticism, and a 2023 censure in Congress, for embracing a pro-Palestinian slogan that many Jews consider a call for the eradication of Israel.
Defense Minister Katz called for the military to turn over to the police the responsibility for protecting Palestinians after two West Bank families were besieged by violent settlers.
Defense Minister Katz called for the military to turn over to the police the responsibility for protecting Palestinians after two West Bank families were besieged by violent settlers.
Nigel Farage, the Reform U.K. leader who resigned from Parliament and won back his seat on Thursday, stays on the offensive and says voters don’t care about allegations of financial impropriety.
Nigel Farage, the Reform U.K. leader who resigned from Parliament and won back his seat on Thursday, stays on the offensive and says voters don’t care about allegations of financial impropriety.
Jared Kushner, President Trump’s senior aide, is expected to meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, who has rejected a U.S.-backed deal to disarm Hamas.
Jared Kushner, President Trump’s senior aide, is expected to meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, who has rejected a U.S.-backed deal to disarm Hamas.
A group of sociologists broke away in protest from their colleagues over disagreements about Israel. Some worry the political stances are harming the field.
A group of sociologists broke away in protest from their colleagues over disagreements about Israel. Some worry the political stances are harming the field.
The military’s failure to keep extremists away from two Palestinian families trapped in their West Bank homes made clear the chaos gripping the Israeli-occupied territory.
The military’s failure to keep extremists away from two Palestinian families trapped in their West Bank homes made clear the chaos gripping the Israeli-occupied territory.
Two families have been trapped by settlers for days, casting a spotlight on the army’s struggle to curtail settler violence and protect Palestinians living in the occupied West Bank.
Two families have been trapped by settlers for days, casting a spotlight on the army’s struggle to curtail settler violence and protect Palestinians living in the occupied West Bank.
The Israeli prime minister, facing a tough upcoming election, is trying to satisfy the sometimes competing demands of his right-wing base and of President Trump.
The Israeli prime minister, facing a tough upcoming election, is trying to satisfy the sometimes competing demands of his right-wing base and of President Trump.
La dernière version du plan de paix américain prévoyait de façon progressive deux mouvements en parallèle:
le désarmement du Hamas
le retrait des forces israéliennes de la bande de Gaza
Le Hamas avait accepté ce plan.
Benyamin Nétanyahou, premier ministre israélien, a lui affirmé hier que l’armée israélienne ne commencerait pas à se retirer du territoire palestinien tant que le Hamas n’aurait pas été «véritablement désarmé».
Le gouvernement israélien redoute un désarmem
La dernière version du plan de paix américain prévoyait de façon progressive deux mouvements en parallèle:
le désarmement du Hamas
le retrait des forces israéliennes de la bande de Gaza
Le Hamas avait accepté ce plan.
Benyamin Nétanyahou, premier ministre israélien, a lui affirmé hier que l’armée israélienne ne commencerait pas à se retirer du territoire palestinien tant que le Hamas n’aurait pas été «véritablement désarmé».
Le gouvernement israélien redoute un désarmement fictif.
President Trump’s Board of Peace announced an agreement last month that aimed at Hamas’s giving up its weapons alongside an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.
President Trump’s Board of Peace announced an agreement last month that aimed at Hamas’s giving up its weapons alongside an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.
In interviews, more than 20 people who tried to break an Israeli blockade described beatings, electric shocks and other abuse after being captured. Israel denied the accusations.
In interviews, more than 20 people who tried to break an Israeli blockade described beatings, electric shocks and other abuse after being captured. Israel denied the accusations.
The government turned to the world to respond to twin quakes. But years of shrinking budgets and political repression weakened its ability to rescue countless people trapped in rubble.
The government turned to the world to respond to twin quakes. But years of shrinking budgets and political repression weakened its ability to rescue countless people trapped in rubble.
Dozens of volunteers and family members searched for survivors in a building at a public housing complex in Caraballeda, La Guaira state, that collapsed during back-to-back earthquakes on June 24.
Ukraine has publicly shown off a homemade air-defense weapon that turns American anti-tank missiles into a drone-killer, The Defence Blog reported. The launcher stacks spare parts from three countries onto an ordinary military truck. It hands Ukraine a cheaper way to knock down the Russian attack drones that hit its cities.
Ukraine has become a proving ground for cheap air defense, forced there by a Russian bombing campaign that leans on mass and low cost. Then what
Ukraine has publicly shown off a homemade air-defense weapon that turns American anti-tank missiles into a drone-killer, The Defence Blog reported. The launcher stacks spare parts from three countries onto an ordinary military truck. It hands Ukraine a cheaper way to knock down the Russian attack drones that hit its cities.
Ukraine has become a proving ground for cheap air defense, forced there by a Russian bombing campaign that leans on mass and low cost. Then what works over Ukrainian cities is increasingly getting copied abroad.
Three countries' parts, one Ukrainian drone-killer
Ukraine's 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade released an official video of the weapon, called STASH. Clips had leaked online for months, but this is the first time the military has shown it openly.
High-quality images of another variant of Ukraine's STASH short-range air defense system, this time mounted on a DAF YA 4442 truck and operated by the 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade.
The STASH system can carry up to four AGM-114L Longbow Hellfire missiles for engaging UAVs.… pic.twitter.com/ewCiLHoJlj
The build is a patchwork. The missile is American. The radar comes from RADA, an Israeli maker of defense electronics. The truck is a Dutch DAF, a type that the Netherlands has long supplied to Ukraine. Crews bolted them together into a single launcher.
Why a tank missile now hunts drones
The missile at the core is the Hellfire, built to punch through tanks and armored vehicles when fired from helicopters. Ukraine repurposed it to shoot things out of the sky instead.
Explore further
Ukraine’s private air defense has quadrupled since spring: businesses are now shooting down Shaheds over their own sites
Not just any Hellfire, though. This is the radar-guided Longbow version (AGM-114L), not the common laser-guided one. After launch, the missile picks out its target and stays on it without further help from the crew. The crew does not have to keep pointing anything at the drone. They can fire without staying locked in place to guide the missile. The Israeli radar spots small, low-flying drones that slip past standard air-defense sets.
What it can and can't do
The weapon reaches about 10 kilometers (6.2 miles). That makes it a short-range system, built to guard one specific site rather than cover wide stretches of sky the way Patriot batteries do.
The STASH air defense system mounted on a truck chassis. Ukraine, August 2026. Screenshot from a video by the 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade.
It is built to stop Russia's Shahed and Geran attack drones—including the newer jet-powered versions that now fly too fast for Ukraine's cheap interceptor drones to chase down. What it cannot reach are Russia's cruise and ballistic missiles, which travel much faster still.
The cost math behind the welding
A single Patriot interceptor runs into the millions of dollars. A Shahed-type drone sets Russia back just a few tens of thousands of dollars, and it launches them in swarms of hundreds during a single night. Trading costly missiles for cheap drones is a losing exchange, and it drains Ukraine's limited stock of interceptors.
STASH is how Ukraine tries to rebalance those numbers. It leans on anti-tank missiles that are cheaper and more available than purpose-built interceptors, carried on plain trucks rather than the permanent emplacements a full battery demands. Ukraine has been chasing cheaper ways to stop drones for a while now.
Explore further
EU releases another €3.47 billion for Ukraine’s “urgent needs” – drones, missiles, air defense, and Gripen jets
Not the first improvisation
STASH is not brand-new. It draws its missile and radar from a prior system, Tempest, built by the American contractor V2X and reportedly already flying with Ukraine's Air Force. Footage of Tempest downing drones at night surfaced in January 2026. STASH appears to strip that idea down, swapping the buggy-style chassis for a simpler truck or trailer launcher—less mobile, but cheaper to run and better for guarding fixed sites.
Ukraine has welded mismatched gear together like this before, pairing donated missiles with whatever launchers and trucks it can find.
President Trump announced a proposal aimed at achieving the disarmament of Hamas and an Israeli withdrawal. Israel ramped up attacks on the Palestinian enclave.
President Trump announced a proposal aimed at achieving the disarmament of Hamas and an Israeli withdrawal. Israel ramped up attacks on the Palestinian enclave.
President Trump has repeatedly threatened to escalate the war with Iran, only to abruptly back down. Saudi Arabia said its leader had urged Mr. Trump not to renew attacks.
President Trump has repeatedly threatened to escalate the war with Iran, only to abruptly back down. Saudi Arabia said its leader had urged Mr. Trump not to renew attacks.
Dust covering the hills in the areas of Arnoun and Al Shaqif near the Beaufort castle in southern Lebanon, after Israeli forces carried out a series of detonations on Friday.
Mourners on Wednesday carried a coffin draped in the Iranian flag during a funeral for those killed in airstrikes on bases belonging to Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.
Palestinian officials said at least two people were killed. The deal announced by President Trump calls in part for Hamas to give up its weapons and Israel to stop its attacks in Gaza.
Palestinian officials said at least two people were killed. The deal announced by President Trump calls in part for Hamas to give up its weapons and Israel to stop its attacks in Gaza.
Donald Trump a annoncé hier qu’un accord avait été conclu sur le désarmement complet du mouvement palestinien Hamas et de tous les autres groupes armés dans la bande de Gaza.
C’était l’un des points qui bloquaient la mise en œuvre de la deuxième phase du plan de paix américain pour Gaza.
Le président américain a précisé que l’armée israélienne quittera le territoire palestinien lorsque le Hamas sera désarmé.
Le Hamas n’avait pas encore confirmé publiquement l’accord hier soir.
Donald Trump a annoncé hier qu’un accord avait été conclu sur le désarmement complet du mouvement palestinien Hamas et de tous les autres groupes armés dans la bande de Gaza.
C’était l’un des points qui bloquaient la mise en œuvre de la deuxième phase du plan de paix américain pour Gaza.
Le président américain a précisé que l’armée israélienne quittera le territoire palestinien lorsque le Hamas sera désarmé.
Le Hamas n’avait pas encore confirmé publiquement l’accord hier soir.
That Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, should disappear, or be disappeared, from the scene was not a novel notion.
Throughout my nearly five years in Tehran at the turn of this century, speculation about his health and longevity was a near-constant background hum. He was reported, or rumoured, to be mortally stricken by prostate cancer, his constitution already weakened by an assassination attempt in 1981 that left his right arm largely useless. Who would succeed him was far f
That Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, should disappear, or be disappeared, from the scene was not a novel notion.
Throughout my nearly five years in Tehran at the turn of this century, speculation about his health and longevity was a near-constant background hum. He was reported, or rumoured, to be mortally stricken by prostate cancer, his constitution already weakened by an assassination attempt in 1981 that left his right arm largely useless. Who would succeed him was far from clear, and the object of further speculation.
As he lived on into more recent times, reaching the same age of 86 attained by his predecessor – the Islamic Republic's founding father Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini – the prospect of his demise became a more immediate issue, though the question of succession remained equally shrouded in uncertainty. As Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei was the commanding voice behind the ruthless crackdown that took the lives of tens of thousands of citizens early this year in the latest and greatest of many escalating protests, at which the slogan "Marg Bar Diktator!" — Death to the Dictator! — became an increasingly prominent slogan.
Their wish was confirmed to be true at 5 a.m. local time on Sunday morning by Iranian broadcasters. The previous morning, Khamenei’s compound in Tehran was demolished as the Israeli-American onslaught got under way while the Ayatollah was heading a meeting of the Defence Council. That ensured that top military figures were also killed, including the commander of the Revolutionary Guards, Mohammad Pakpour, the Army Chief of Staff Abdolrahim Musavi, and Khamenei's top military adviser, Ali Shamkhani, who had been wounded but survived the attack in June last year.
The Iranian leadership appears to have been caught by surprise, as it was last year when the opening Israeli strike, which culled many top military leaders as well as nuclear scientists, was launched between two rounds of indirect negotiations between Iran and the U.S. Oman, which was mediating the talks, was furious then, denouncing Israel as the real destabilising factor in the region.
Perhaps the Iranian leaders — and the Omani mediators — thought that such a dirty trick could only be pulled once. But it has happened again, with no evidence that the talks in Geneva had broken down. The chief Omani negotiator, Badr Albusaidi, was livid. Only hours before the strike, he was in Washington for meetings “to explain that a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran is now within reach. No nuclear weapons. Not ever. Zero stockpiling. Comprehensive verification. Peacefully and permanently. Let’s support the negotiators in closing the deal.”
After learning of the attack, he expressed his outrage in another tweet: “I am dismayed. Active and serious negotiations have yet again been undermined. Neither the interests of the United States nor the cause of global peace are well served by this. And I pray for the innocents who will suffer. I urge the United States not to get sucked in further. This is not your war.”
But Donald Trump and the U.S. were already thoroughly sucked in, and it was indeed their war, or at least his. According to the Israelis, the date had been decided jointly weeks before, after months of planning. Which meant that the Geneva negotiations, focused on the nuclear issue, were simply deceptive camouflage designed to give time for the U.S. to complete the marshalling of its biggest naval and air buildup in the region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
Trump and the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu soon made it clear that the campaign now had little to do with the niceties of Iran's nuclear programme: the agenda was regime change in Tehran, and a surprise attack to decapitate the regime was an essential element.
With Iran's air defences largely taken out in last year's 12 days of war, it was like shooting fish in a barrel. Hundreds of air, missile and drone strikes were carried out on missile launchers, military bases and other targets around the country, with inevitable "collateral damage", including a girl's primary school in the southern town of Minab where scores of children were reported killed.
People gathered in Tehran's Revolution Square to mourn the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on March 1, 2026.
The Iranians did their best to live up to their dire warnings of deadly reprisals against Israel, and against American bases and allies on the Arab side of the Gulf and elsewhere. Missiles hailed down on airports and other installations in Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and even Oman, despite its active mediation. While some U.S. bases may have been hit, so too were many civilian sites such as Dubai's iconic Burj al Arab hotel. Explosions too are being heard in Beirut, after Hezbollah fired rockets and drones at northern Israel to "avenge" Khamenei's death and the Israel Defense Forces struck back.
Air traffic was halted throughout a region rich in international hubs, sowing chaos worldwide. Iran's declaration that the strategic Strait of Hormuz was closed to shipping forced cargo shippers to suspend the voyages that transport some 20% of the world's oil and a lot of liquid gas, causing tremors through international markets. Once again, a decision taken by a tiny circle of men in Washington, Jerusalem and Tehran instantly rewired daily life, reminding us who actually gets to pull the global emergency brake.
What all this would do to Iran's relations with the Arab side of the Gulf was one of many open questions. While Oman was actively mediating, the other Arab oil states had been pressing the Americans not to allow a campaign that would predictably destabilise the region, and declaring their airspace not available for any hostilities. But any sympathy for Tehran quickly evaporated when the missiles started flying in: the Gulf Arab states closed ranks.
Trump and the Israelis made it clear that this was not one quick spectacular strike, but an ongoing campaign that would last days, perhaps even weeks. Presumably at the end, Iran would find its missile capabilities "obliterated," in Trump's favourite term, along with any nuclear activities.
Once the bombs stop falling, Trump and Netanyahu urged, the Iranians should come out of their basements and take over a government that would be theirs for the taking. A historic opportunity that would likely not recur for generations, Iranians were told.
But it is hard to imagine such regime change being wrought remotely from the skies. The regime lost little time in filling the leadership vacuum, setting up a three-man ruling council in line with the constitution, composed of the President, Masood Pezeshkian, the head of the Judiciary, Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, and Ayatollah Alireza Arafi from the Council of Guardians. All regime loyalists, and the latter two noted hard-liners. So business as usual as far as they are concerned. But the fact is that the assassination of the Supreme Leader and the attendant bludgeoning of the regime's capabilities will inevitably usher in a new and unpredictable phase in Iran's turbulent history.
On the streets, reactions were fractured: jubilation in areas that had long chanted “Death to the dictator”, state-promote mourning in others, but also fear and a grim resignation, an understanding that power vacuums are often filled with fresh repression or civil war.
A smooth transition to a peaceful democracy is about the least likely scenario among the many possibilities. So too is an imminent return of the monarchy, with a comeback by Israeli-backed Reza Pahlavi, son of the Shah ousted by the 1979 revolution. So far there has been no sign visible to the outside world of a split in the ranks of the defenses built up by the Islamic Republic, which still has regular military forces numbering around 400,000, Revolutionary Guards of up to 190,000, and its auxiliary militia enforcers, the Basij, who may be able to mobilise around a million at street level.
There must be much anger among regime loyalists, which may fall on the heads of any opposition protestors who imagine they can move in and take over the reins of government from the bombed-out wreckage of the Islamic Republic. The U.S. military is not likely to be able to remain engaged in the detail of defanging the regime once the main thrust of the campaign is done. But Israel likely will. Its equivalent of the CIA, the Mossad, has spent years building up formidable intelligence at street level, and will be doing its utmost to continue hamstringing the regime from within and fomenting opposition.Among the many unanswerable questions is whether all this will lead simply to chaos and fragmentation, which is probably Israel's preferred outcome, or to a more compliant regime willing to compromise with the U.S. in order to get crippling economic sanctions lifted. As Trump concedes the war might last weeks, who knows what Iran will eventually emerge from the smoke and the rubble?