Vue lecture

Progressives Condemn Pick of Pro-Israel Democrat Atop House Panel

Outrage over making Representative Jared Moskowitz, who is vocally pro-Israel, the top Democrat on a Middle East policy subcommittee reflected the party’s rift over Israel.

© Kenny Holston/The New York Times

On Tuesday, Representative Jared Moskowitz of Florida, a vocally pro-Israel Democrat, was chosen to serve as the ranking member on a key subcommittee with jurisdiction over Middle East policy.
  •  

Three pro-Israel Democrats given key roles on House foreign affairs panel

Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Wesley Bell to join as Jared Moskowitz becomes ranking member on sub-committee

Three pro-Israel Democrats have been given key roles on a powerful congressional body overseeing US foreign policy in a move rounding sharply counter to popular sentiment within the party and likely to anger leftwing activists.

The appointments to the US House of Representatives foreign affairs committee follow a succession of wins in party primaries for progressive candidates who put criticism of Israel and its actions in Gaza at the core of their campaign messages.

Continue reading...

© Composite: Getty Images

© Composite: Getty Images

© Composite: Getty Images

  •  

Trump’s Top Gaza Official Says Israel Is Jeopardizing the Cease-Fire

Nickolay Mladenov, the Board of Peace’s high representative for Gaza, criticized Israel for its ongoing strikes on what it says are Hamas targets, after it rejected a plan to disarm the group.

© Saher Alghorra for The New York Times

An Israeli airstrike targeted a car in Gaza City earlier this month.
  •  

Israeli Lawmaker Smashes Palestinian Monument in West Bank

Videos showed Israeli troops standing by as Zvi Sukkot attacked the monument with a sledgehammer. The military said soldiers had stopped the demolition.

© Jaafar Ashtiyeh/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The damaged Palestinian monument in the West Bank village of Madama on Tuesday.
  •  

Syria and Israel Hold U.S.-Mediated Talks to Try to Ease Tensions

The discussions, reported by the Syrian state news agency, came days after Israel struck an air base in Syria’s northwest, the latest in a series of military interventions.

© Reuters

The Abu al-Duhur air base in northwestern Syria last week after Israeli strikes.
  •  

Lebanon’s Efforts to Tame Hezbollah Stall Amid Israel War

President Joseph Aoun took office with a popular mandate to reassert control after the militant group dragged the country back into war with Israel.

© David Guttenfelder/The New York Times

A demonstration showing support for Hezbollah and opposition to the decision of Lebanese authorities to engage in direct negotiations with Israel, in Beirut in April.
  •  

Turkey Requests Netanyahu’s Arrest, Saying Israel Abused Flotilla Activists

Turkey’s request for an Interpol ‘red notice’ came at a time of escalating tensions between the two countries.

© Dilara Senkaya/Reuters

A flotilla of about 50 boats carrying humanitarian aid departed Marmaris, Turkey, in May, intending to break the Israeli blockade of Gaza. Israeli forces boarded the boats and detained 400 people.
  •  

With ICC sanctions, Trump wants to make the world safe for war criminals | Kenneth Roth

The US is engaged in a lawless quest to protect American and Israeli officials

The Trump administration has taken another step in its crusade against the international criminal court by imposing sanctions on two more senior ICC officials. The growing number of sanctioned jurists – now 13 – does not change the lawless nature of this quest.

Donald Trump and his henchman, Marco Rubio, want to make the world safe for US and Israeli war criminals. No one should let them.

Continue reading...

© Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

© Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

© Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

  •  

Trump Officials Move to Fund Gaza Peacekeepers Even as Peace Plan Falters

The State Department informed Congress of its intent to fund the stabilization force on the same day the president’s Board of Peace announced a plan to disarm Hamas.

© Saher Alghorra for The New York Times

Palestinians inspecting the damage to a mosque after it was struck by Israeli airstrikes in July in Gaza City. Deadly clashes have continued on and off since an initial cease-fire was reached in October.
  •  

An open letter to Iran’s political prisoners, trapped ‘between two blades of a scissors’

On one side, you face the domination of the Islamic Republic; on the other, the imperialist forces that republic claims to stand against

August marks the anniversary of the 1988 mass executions in Iran, a horror that echoes in the country’s current surge in death sentences. It also marks the 19 August anniversary of the UK- and US-orchestrated coup against the prime minister Mohammad Mosaddegh in 1953. Amid the current, indiscriminate waves of US-Israeli military assaults against Iran, this letter of solidarity denounces the repression of the Iranian people and their political prisoners by forces both at home and abroad.

***

Continue reading...

© Illustration: Guardian Design/Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto/Getty Images

© Illustration: Guardian Design/Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto/Getty Images

© Illustration: Guardian Design/Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto/Getty Images

  •  

Trump vs. the International Criminal Court

The U.S. approach to the court has always been complicated. Now, it’s openly hostile.

© Ilvy Njiokiktjien for The New York Times

The International Criminal Court in The Hague.
  •  

Israel Opens Criminal Investigation Into Killings of Hind Rajab and Gaza Medical Workers

Two high-profile cases that had spurred international condemnation of the country’s conduct in Gaza were transferred to the military police. Such investigations have rarely led to convictions.

© Reuters

A car where the bodies of Hind Rajab, a Palestinian girl, and her family were found in Gaza City after an Israeli strike in 2024.
  •  

Québec solidaire a présenté ses engagements pour ses 100 premiers jours de mandat

Un gouvernement solidaire adopterait immédiatement 6 mesures: 

  • hausser le salaire minimum à 20 $;
  • plafonner les hausses de loyer aux taux d’inflation;
  • annuler la politique de retour au bureau visant les fonctionnaires;
  • créer un ministère des femmes et de l’égalité des genres;
  • fermer le bureau du Québec à Tel-Aviv;
  • bloquer les projets de pipelines et gazoducs sur le territoire québécois.

QS lancerait 3 grands chantiers, pour être réalisés au cours d’un premier mandat: 

  • mettre en place une assemblée constituante élaborée avec les Premières Nations;
  • instaurer un réseau commun public/privé en éducation;
  • réformer le mode de scrutin.

[L'article Québec solidaire a présenté ses engagements pour ses 100 premiers jours de mandat a d'abord été publié dans InfoBref.]

  •  

Deadly Israeli Strike on Gaza Raises Doubts About Trump Peace Plan

A day after President Trump’s envoy, Jared Kushner, visited Israel to advance a stalled plan for demilitarizing and rebuilding Gaza, the Israeli military said it targeted Hamas commanders.

© Saher Alghorra for The New York Times

Palestinians mourned loved ones at Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City on Tuesday after a cafe near the Gaza port was attacked.
  •  

US sanctions international criminal court president and prosecutor

Marco Rubio targets ICC’s Tomoko Akane and Abdoulaye Seye, who was investigating Israeli war crimes in Gaza

The US has sanctioned the president of the international criminal court (ICC) and a prosecutor tasked with investigating crimes committed by Israel during its war on Gaza.

The new sanctions designations were unveiled by Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state, who called the Hague-based ICC a “corrupt and fatally politicized supranational court that has maliciously abused its authority and exceeded its mandate”, in a statement.

Continue reading...

© Photograph: Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu via Getty Images

© Photograph: Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu via Getty Images

© Photograph: Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu via Getty Images

  •  

How Israel’s Financial Chokehold Is Stifling the West Bank Economy

Intensifying restrictions have hit every part of the territory’s dealings, spurring worries about whether the Palestinian Authority can remain solvent.

© Samar Hazboun for The New York Times

Montaser Amro, left, and his brother inspecting a box of unpaid bills at his supermarket in Majd, West Bank. Mr. Amro said that his customers owed him around $155,000 and that he was struggling to pay suppliers.
  •  

Kushner Meets Netanyahu in Israel in Effort to Break Logjam Over Gaza

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has refused to pull back the country’s military until Hamas fully disarms. But the Trump administration is under pressure to show progress.

© Evan Vucci/Associated Press

Jared Kushner speaking about the Board of Peace, an organization backed by the Trump administration to end the war in Gaza, during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in January.
  •  

U.S. and Iran Blow Through Deadline to Agree to a Broad Deal to End War

President Trump said a cease-fire agreed in June would lead to limits on Iran’s nuclear program and finish the conflict, but the countries appear far apart.

© Arash Khamooshi/Polaris for The New York Times

People in Tehran, Iran, last month. Iranians are coping with severe economic strain from six months of war.
  •  

Jared Kushner meets with Hamas ahead of talks with Netanyahu on Gaza

Trump’s son-in-law and envoy held rare meeting with Hamas chief in Egypt in push for progress on ceasefire

Donald Trump’s son-in-law and envoy, Jared Kushner, held a rare meeting with Hamas’s political chief on Sunday in Egypt, in a new diplomatic effort to make progress in the stalled Gaza ceasefire. Kushner will meet on Monday with Benjamin Netanyahu, who is under pressure after rejecting the new 15-point, US-backed road map.

The talks aim to salvage the plan for Hamas to disarm and Israel to withdraw from the Palestinian territory shattered by war.

Continue reading...

© Photograph: Gian Ehrenzeller/EPA

© Photograph: Gian Ehrenzeller/EPA

© Photograph: Gian Ehrenzeller/EPA

  •  

Kushner Meets With Hamas to Advance Trump’s Gaza Plan

The president’s son-in-law met the Palestinian militant group’s leaders in Egypt, officials said. He will soon see Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli leader.

© Saul Loeb/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Jared Kushner earlier this year.
  •  

As Iran War Turns Into Economic Battle, a New U.S. Strategy Recalls Old Ones

The United States and Iran are poised to blow past a deadline they had set themselves to broker terms on peace and Iran’s nuclear program.

© Ali Saeedi/Getty Images

Ships anchored this month in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Bandar Abbas, Iran.
  •  

Sure, ‘Woke 1’ had its issues – but we have far bigger problems on our hands | Arwa Mahdawi

AOC’s remarks about past excesses have been ripped out of context. Progressives shouldn’t get roped into this sideshow

There is probably no word that has been more used and abused in the last decade than “woke”. It has been rendered completely meaningless, but it refuses to die. Indeed, it has now taken on new life: in the past week, there’s been a flurry of headlines about “Woke 1.0” or “Woke One”. If you haven’t seen the phrase pop up in your newsfeed yet, it will soon.

So what is this cursed phrase? There’s no official definition, but the term is largely being used to refer to the period between 2018 and 2021 when social justice language was at its peak in mainstream culture. Certain progressives, including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have started to use “Woke 1” disparagingly, as a way to distance themselves from that period and signal that they stand for a new form of left-leaning politics that is more palatable to centrist Democrats. “Woke 2”, I suppose.

Arwa Mahdawi is a Guardian columnist

Continue reading...

© Photograph: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images

© Photograph: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images

© Photograph: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images

  •  

Israeli Strikes in Lebanon Kill 11, Health Officials Say

The Lebanese health ministry said children were among those killed. The Israeli prime minister’s office said Hezbollah had struck first, injuring three Israeli soldiers.

© Abbas Fakih/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The aftermath of an Israeli strike in Deir al-Zahrani, a town in southern Lebanon, on Saturday.
  •  

South Florida Venue Cancels Rally With a Pro-Palestinian Congresswoman

Par : Tim Balk
Representative Rashida Tlaib was supposed to headline an event called “Chomp the Oligarchy” for three candidates for Congress who face Jewish Democrats in Tuesday’s primary.

© Eric Lee for The New York Times

Representative Rashida Tlaib, Democrat of Michigan, has drawn criticism, and a 2023 censure in Congress, for embracing a pro-Palestinian slogan that many Jews consider a call for the eradication of Israel.
  •  

As Army Fails to Protect Palestinians, Israeli Leaders Sympathize With Settlers

Defense Minister Katz called for the military to turn over to the police the responsibility for protecting Palestinians after two West Bank families were besieged by violent settlers.

© Zain Jaafar/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Israeli soldiers patrolling a street Thursday during an operation in the village of Qusra, in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.
  •  

Britain’s Farage Takes a Page From Trump’s Playbook Amid Investigations

Nigel Farage, the Reform U.K. leader who resigned from Parliament and won back his seat on Thursday, stays on the offensive and says voters don’t care about allegations of financial impropriety.

© Henry Nicholls/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Nigel Farage arriving to vote in Walton-on-the-Naze, England, on Thursday.
  •  

With Trump’s Hamas Deal in Peril, Kushner Set to Visit Israel for Gaza Talks

Jared Kushner, President Trump’s senior aide, is expected to meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, who has rejected a U.S.-backed deal to disarm Hamas.

© Nathan Howard/Reuters

Jared Kushner, President Trump’s senior aide and son-in-law, at the Capitol in Washington in February.
  •  

Is Activism Hurting Sociology? Sociologists Are Torn.

A group of sociologists broke away in protest from their colleagues over disagreements about Israel. Some worry the political stances are harming the field.

© Jackie Molloy for The New York Times

Attendees of a breakaway sociology conference in New York on Tuesday made signs in support of Palestine.
  •  

Israeli Settlers Resume West Bank Siege After Eviction

The military’s failure to keep extremists away from two Palestinian families trapped in their West Bank homes made clear the chaos gripping the Israeli-occupied territory.

© Zain Jaafar/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Israeli soldiers patrolling a street Thursday during an operation in the village of Qusra, in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.
  •  

Who Are the Houthis, Iran-Backed Militia Entering Mideast War?

Amid relentless war in the Middle East, the Iran-backed militants seem poised to renew their conflict with Yemen’s Saudi-backed government.

© Yahya Arhab/EPA, via Shutterstock

Newly recruited Houthi fighters marching past an image of their leader, Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, in 2023.
  •  

Settler Siege of Palestinian Homes Highlights Growing West Bank Chaos

Two families have been trapped by settlers for days, casting a spotlight on the army’s struggle to curtail settler violence and protect Palestinians living in the occupied West Bank.

© Zain Jaafar/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Israeli soldiers gathered near Israeli settlers, forefront, near Palestinian houses in the village of Qusra in the occupied West Bank on Wednesday.
  •  

Trump Wants to Move On From the Middle East. It’s Not Letting Him.

President Trump is eager to declare success in Iran and Gaza, but he is struggling to impose his will in either conflict.

© Anna Rose Layden for The New York Times

President Trump boarding Air Force One in New Jersey on Sunday. Over the weekend, he said his strategy is to be “low-keying” it in Iran.
  •  

Netanyahu Walks Tightrope on Trump’s Gaza Disarmament Deal

The Israeli prime minister, facing a tough upcoming election, is trying to satisfy the sometimes competing demands of his right-wing base and of President Trump.

© Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

President Trump with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, at the White House last year.
  •  

Israël refuse les conditions du plan de paix américain pour Gaza

La dernière version du plan de paix américain prévoyait de façon progressive deux mouvements en parallèle:

  • le désarmement du Hamas 
  • le retrait des forces israéliennes de la bande de Gaza

Le Hamas avait accepté ce plan. 

Benyamin Nétanyahou, premier ministre israélien, a lui affirmé hier que l’armée israélienne ne commencerait pas à se retirer du territoire palestinien tant que le Hamas n’aurait pas été «véritablement désarmé».

  • Le gouvernement israélien redoute un désarmement fictif.

[L'article Israël refuse les conditions du plan de paix américain pour Gaza a d'abord été publié dans InfoBref.]

  •  

Iran War Timeline: Key Moments and Attacks In U.S. and Israel’s Campaign

The United States and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, starting a monthslong war that spread to neighboring countries and rocked global markets.

© Arash Khamooshi/Polaris for The New York Times

Smoke rising from an explosion in Tehran on Feb. 28, the first day of the war.
  •  

Israel Rejects Trump’s 15-Point Plan to Disarm Hamas

President Trump’s Board of Peace announced an agreement last month that aimed at Hamas’s giving up its weapons alongside an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.

© Ohad Zwigenberg/Associated Press

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, shown last month, told his cabinet on Sunday, “Israel is ruling out the 15-point document.”
  •  

Inside the War on Hezbollah’s Finances

Israel and the United States aren’t just targeting the Lebanese militant group’s weapons. They’re going after its money.

© Diego Ibarra Sanchez for The New York Times

The aftermath of a strike in March on a building in Beirut that Israel asserted was linked to Hezbollah’s financial arm.
  •  

Seized on Their Way to Gaza, Activists Tell of Abuse in Israeli Custody

In interviews, more than 20 people who tried to break an Israeli blockade described beatings, electric shocks and other abuse after being captured. Israel denied the accusations.

© Ozan Kose/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Arno Meyns, a Belgian activist, at Istanbul’s airport in May after being released and deported by Israel. He said he was beaten in custody.
  •  

Israeli Settler Charged in Death of Activist Awdah Hathaleen

The indictment was a rare case in which the Israeli authorities pressed charges against an Israeli in the killing of a Palestinian.

© Fadel Senna/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Khalil Hathaleen with pictures of his brother in Umm al-Khair in November.
  •  

Venezuela’s Response to Earthquakes Exposes Government’s Shortcomings

The government turned to the world to respond to twin quakes. But years of shrinking budgets and political repression weakened its ability to rescue countless people trapped in rubble.

© Adriana Loureiro Fernandez for The New York Times

Dozens of volunteers and family members searched for survivors in a building at a public housing complex in Caraballeda, La Guaira state, that collapsed during back-to-back earthquakes on June 24.
  •  

Israel Strikes Lebanon After Accusing Hezbollah of Cease-Fire Violation

At the same time, Israeli and Lebanese negotiators were holding talks in Rome aimed at fostering a long-term diplomatic settlement.

© Kawnat Haju/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

A crater left by an overnight airstrike in the area of Burj al-Shamali, near Tyre, southern Lebanon on Thursday.
  •  

American tank missiles, an Israeli radar, a Dutch truck—Ukraine welded them into one drone-killer

The STASH air defense system mounted on a truck chassis. Ukraine, August 2026

Ukraine has publicly shown off a homemade air-defense weapon that turns American anti-tank missiles into a drone-killer, The Defence Blog reported. The launcher stacks spare parts from three countries onto an ordinary military truck. It hands Ukraine a cheaper way to knock down the Russian attack drones that hit its cities.

Ukraine has become a proving ground for cheap air defense, forced there by a Russian bombing campaign that leans on mass and low cost. Then what works over Ukrainian cities is increasingly getting copied abroad.

Three countries' parts, one Ukrainian drone-killer

Ukraine's 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade released an official video of the weapon, called STASH. Clips had leaked online for months, but this is the first time the military has shown it openly.

High-quality images of another variant of Ukraine's STASH short-range air defense system, this time mounted on a DAF YA 4442 truck and operated by the 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade.

The STASH system can carry up to four AGM-114L Longbow Hellfire missiles for engaging UAVs.… pic.twitter.com/ewCiLHoJlj

— OSINTWarfare (@OSINTWarfare) August 3, 2026

The build is a patchwork. The missile is American. The radar comes from RADA, an Israeli maker of defense electronics. The truck is a Dutch DAF, a type that the Netherlands has long supplied to Ukraine. Crews bolted them together into a single launcher.

Why a tank missile now hunts drones

The missile at the core is the Hellfire, built to punch through tanks and armored vehicles when fired from helicopters. Ukraine repurposed it to shoot things out of the sky instead.

Ukraine's mobile gun team. Photo: Ukraine's Air Force via Facebook
Explore further

Ukraine’s private air defense has quadrupled since spring: businesses are now shooting down Shaheds over their own sites

Not just any Hellfire, though. This is the radar-guided Longbow version (AGM-114L), not the common laser-guided one. After launch, the missile picks out its target and stays on it without further help from the crew. The crew does not have to keep pointing anything at the drone. They can fire without staying locked in place to guide the missile. The Israeli radar spots small, low-flying drones that slip past standard air-defense sets.

What it can and can't do

The weapon reaches about 10 kilometers (6.2 miles). That makes it a short-range system, built to guard one specific site rather than cover wide stretches of sky the way Patriot batteries do.

The STASH air defense system mounted on a truck chassis. Ukraine, August 2026
The STASH air defense system mounted on a truck chassis. Ukraine, August 2026. Screenshot from a video by the 302nd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade.

It is built to stop Russia's Shahed and Geran attack drones—including the newer jet-powered versions that now fly too fast for Ukraine's cheap interceptor drones to chase down. What it cannot reach are Russia's cruise and ballistic missiles, which travel much faster still.

The cost math behind the welding

A single Patriot interceptor runs into the millions of dollars. A Shahed-type drone sets Russia back just a few tens of thousands of dollars, and it launches them in swarms of hundreds during a single night. Trading costly missiles for cheap drones is a losing exchange, and it drains Ukraine's limited stock of interceptors.

STASH is how Ukraine tries to rebalance those numbers. It leans on anti-tank missiles that are cheaper and more available than purpose-built interceptors, carried on plain trucks rather than the permanent emplacements a full battery demands. Ukraine has been chasing cheaper ways to stop drones for a while now.

antónio costa, volodymyr zelenskyy and ursula von der leyen in kyiv on 24 february 2026
Explore further

EU releases another €3.47 billion for Ukraine’s “urgent needs” – drones, missiles, air defense, and Gripen jets

Not the first improvisation

STASH is not brand-new. It draws its missile and radar from a prior system, Tempest, built by the American contractor V2X and reportedly already flying with Ukraine's Air Force. Footage of Tempest downing drones at night surfaced in January 2026. STASH appears to strip that idea down, swapping the buggy-style chassis for a simpler truck or trailer launcher—less mobile, but cheaper to run and better for guarding fixed sites.

Ukraine has welded mismatched gear together like this before, pairing donated missiles with whatever launchers and trucks it can find.

  •  

Le Hamas aurait accepté de rendre les armes 

Donald Trump a annoncé hier qu’un accord avait été conclu sur le désarmement complet du mouvement palestinien Hamas et de tous les autres groupes armés dans la bande de Gaza. 

  • C’était l’un des points qui bloquaient la mise en œuvre de la deuxième phase du plan de paix américain pour Gaza.

Le président américain a précisé que l’armée israélienne quittera le territoire palestinien lorsque le Hamas sera désarmé. 

Le Hamas n’avait pas encore confirmé publiquement l’accord hier soir.

[L'article Le Hamas aurait accepté de rendre les armes  a d'abord été publié dans InfoBref.]

  •  

The strike, the illusion of regime change, and what comes next

Par : Jim Muir

That Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, should disappear, or be disappeared, from the scene was not a novel notion. 

Throughout my nearly five years in Tehran at the turn of this century, speculation about his health and longevity was a near-constant background hum. He was reported, or rumoured, to be mortally stricken by prostate cancer, his constitution already weakened by an assassination attempt in 1981 that left his right arm largely useless. Who would succeed him was far from clear, and the object of further speculation. 

As he lived on into more recent times, reaching the same age of 86 attained by his predecessor – the Islamic Republic's founding father Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini – the prospect of his demise became a more immediate issue, though the question of succession remained equally shrouded in uncertainty. As Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei was the commanding voice behind the ruthless crackdown that took the lives of tens of thousands of citizens early this year in the latest and greatest of many escalating protests, at which the slogan "Marg Bar Diktator!" — Death to the Dictator! — became an increasingly prominent slogan. 

Their wish was confirmed to be true at 5 a.m. local time on Sunday morning by Iranian broadcasters. The previous morning, Khamenei’s compound in Tehran was demolished as the Israeli-American onslaught got under way while the Ayatollah was heading a meeting of the Defence Council. That ensured that top military figures were also killed, including the commander of the Revolutionary Guards, Mohammad Pakpour, the Army Chief of Staff Abdolrahim Musavi, and Khamenei's top military adviser, Ali Shamkhani, who had been wounded but survived the attack in June last year. 

The Iranian leadership appears to have been caught by surprise, as it was last year when the opening Israeli strike, which culled many top military leaders as well as nuclear scientists, was launched between two rounds of indirect negotiations between Iran and the U.S. Oman, which was mediating the talks, was furious then, denouncing Israel as the real destabilising factor in the region. 

Perhaps the Iranian leaders — and the Omani mediators — thought that such a dirty trick could only be pulled once. But it has happened again, with no evidence that the talks in Geneva had broken down. The chief Omani negotiator, Badr Albusaidi, was livid. Only hours before the strike, he was in Washington for meetings “to explain that a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran is now within reach. No nuclear weapons. Not ever. Zero stockpiling. Comprehensive verification. Peacefully and permanently. Let’s support the negotiators in closing the deal.”

After learning of the attack, he expressed his outrage in another tweet: “I am dismayed. Active and serious negotiations have yet again been undermined. Neither the interests of the United States nor the cause of global peace are well served by this. And I pray for the innocents who will suffer. I urge the United States not to get sucked in further. This is not your war.”

But Donald Trump and the U.S. were already thoroughly sucked in, and it was indeed their war, or at least his. According to the Israelis, the date had been decided jointly weeks before, after months of planning. Which meant that the Geneva negotiations, focused on the nuclear issue, were simply deceptive camouflage designed to give time for the U.S. to complete the marshalling of its biggest naval and air buildup in the region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq. 

Trump and the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu soon made it clear that the campaign now had little to do with the niceties of Iran's nuclear programme: the agenda was regime change in Tehran, and a surprise attack to decapitate the regime was an essential element. 

With Iran's air defences largely taken out in last year's 12 days of war, it was like shooting fish in a barrel. Hundreds of air, missile and drone strikes were carried out on missile launchers, military bases and other targets around the country, with inevitable "collateral damage", including a girl's primary school in the southern town of Minab where scores of children were reported killed.

People gathered in Tehran's Revolution Square to mourn the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on March 1, 2026.

The Iranians did their best to live up to their dire warnings of deadly reprisals against Israel, and against American bases and allies on the Arab side of the Gulf and elsewhere. Missiles hailed down on airports and other installations in Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and even Oman, despite its active mediation. While some U.S. bases may have been hit, so too were many civilian sites such as Dubai's iconic Burj al Arab hotel. Explosions too are being heard in Beirut, after Hezbollah fired rockets and drones at northern Israel to "avenge" Khamenei's death and the Israel Defense Forces struck back.

Air traffic was halted throughout a region rich in international hubs, sowing chaos worldwide. Iran's declaration that the strategic Strait of Hormuz was closed to shipping forced cargo shippers to suspend the voyages that transport some 20% of the world's oil and a lot of liquid gas, causing tremors through international markets. Once again, a decision taken by a tiny circle of men in Washington, Jerusalem and Tehran instantly rewired daily life, reminding us who actually gets to pull the global emergency brake.

What all this would do to Iran's relations with the Arab side of the Gulf was one of many open questions. While Oman was actively mediating, the other Arab oil states had been pressing the Americans not to allow a campaign that would predictably destabilise the region, and declaring their airspace not available for any hostilities. But any sympathy for Tehran quickly evaporated when the missiles started flying in: the Gulf Arab states closed ranks.

Trump and the Israelis made it clear that this was not one quick spectacular strike, but an ongoing campaign that would last days, perhaps even weeks. Presumably at the end, Iran would find its missile capabilities "obliterated," in Trump's favourite term, along with any nuclear activities. 

Once the bombs stop falling, Trump and Netanyahu urged, the Iranians should come out of their basements and take over a government that would be theirs for the taking. A historic opportunity that would likely not recur for generations, Iranians were told. 

But it is hard to imagine such regime change being wrought remotely from the skies. The regime lost little time in filling the leadership vacuum, setting up a three-man ruling council in line with the constitution, composed of the President, Masood Pezeshkian, the head of the Judiciary, Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, and Ayatollah Alireza Arafi from the Council of Guardians. All regime loyalists, and the latter two noted hard-liners. So business as usual as far as they are concerned. But the fact is that the assassination of the Supreme Leader and the attendant bludgeoning of the regime's capabilities will inevitably usher in a new and unpredictable phase in Iran's turbulent history.

On the streets, reactions were fractured: jubilation in areas that had long chanted “Death to the dictator”, state-promote mourning in others, but also fear and a grim resignation, an understanding that power vacuums are often filled with fresh repression or civil war.

A smooth transition to a peaceful democracy is about the least likely scenario among the many possibilities. So too is an imminent return of the monarchy, with a comeback by Israeli-backed Reza Pahlavi, son of the Shah ousted by the 1979 revolution. So far there has been no sign visible to the outside world of a split in the ranks of the defenses built up by the Islamic Republic, which still has regular military forces numbering around 400,000, Revolutionary Guards of up to 190,000, and its auxiliary militia enforcers, the Basij, who may be able to mobilise around a million at street level. 

There must be much anger among regime loyalists, which may fall on the heads of any opposition protestors who imagine they can move in and take over the reins of government from the bombed-out wreckage of the Islamic Republic. The U.S. military is not likely to be able to remain engaged in the detail of defanging the regime once the main thrust of the campaign is done. But Israel likely will. Its equivalent of the CIA, the Mossad, has spent years building up formidable intelligence at street level, and will be doing its utmost to continue hamstringing the regime from within and fomenting opposition.Among the many unanswerable questions is whether all this will lead simply to chaos and fragmentation, which is probably Israel's preferred outcome, or to a more compliant regime willing to compromise with the U.S. in order to get crippling economic sanctions lifted. As Trump concedes the war might last weeks, who knows what Iran will eventually emerge from the smoke and the rubble?

The post The strike, the illusion of regime change, and what comes next appeared first on Coda Story.

  •  

The phoney war: Will the U.S. strike a decisive blow against Iran?

Par : Jim Muir

Will he or won't he? The Middle East is on tenterhooks as the U.S. continues to build up a massive and menacing military posture around Iran, threatening an attack that could trigger a conflagration whose tremors would be felt throughout the region. 

If anybody hoped that the man on whose word it all hangs, President Donald Trump, might clarify his intentions in his State of the Union address on Tuesday night, they were disappointed. 

Speaking 36 hours before a third round of indirect and ultimately inconclusive talks with the Iranians in Geneva on Thursday, he said, "My preference is to stop this problem through diplomacy but one thing is for certain, I will never allow the world's number one sponsor of terror, which they are by far, to have a nuclear weapon...they want to make a deal, but we haven't heard those secret (sic) words, 'We will never have a nuclear weapon.’”

In the run-up to the Geneva talks, led on the U.S. side by real estate moguls Steve Witkoff and Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner, Iranian officials voiced optimism that a deal could be struck and insisted they would be flexible on the nuclear issue. Various formulas were being bandied around, such as Iran sending abroad half of its estimated 300kg of highly enriched uranium and diluting the rest under supervision, participating in a regional consortium for peaceful enrichment and so on. 

In theory, for Iran to say "We will never have a nuclear weapon" should not be an issue — it has said all along that it is not pursuing that goal, which is banned by a fatwa. Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X this week that Tehran “will under no circumstances ever develop a nuclear weapon.” Which begs the question as to why it has enriched uranium to 60% — short of weapons grade but well beyond the levels needed for peaceful civilian purposes.  

Witkoff and Kushner will be vigilant for signs of Iranian duplicity and foot-dragging. But with another set of talks ending with no deal apart from promises of more talks, both sides might simply be playing for time, Iran to delay the feared blow, and the U.S. to finish assembling the assault force, its biggest mobilization of naval and air power in the region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

There is strong apprehension in the region that the huge and costly U.S. buildup must mean business. American bombs and missiles would hit Iran. The Iranians would make good on their threat to make it a regional war, not a symbolic retaliation as happened in the 12-day war in June last year after American bunker-buster bombs hit Iran's nuclear facilities in Isfahan, Natanz and Fordow. This time Iranian missiles would target U.S. military assets, bases on the Arab side of the Gulf and elsewhere, and perhaps oil installations. And Israel. The Israelis would hit back hard. Hezbollah in Lebanon would do its best to join in, prompting a further massive Israeli response. 

There were ominous straws in the wind. The U.S. withdrew non-essential personnel from bases in the Gulf, and from its embassy in Beirut. The Israelis reportedly warned Lebanon that if Hezbollah joined in, they would hit back at government targets, including Beirut airport, which were unscathed throughout the earlier hostilities. They stepped up their daily attacks on suspected Hezbollah targets, including a big missile attack on February  20 on the eastern Beqaa valley which left 12 dead, including eight Hezbollahis. Since the November 2024 ceasefire, Hezbollah has not fired so much as a peashooter at Israel while well over 400 of their people have been killed in Israeli attacks on Lebanon.

Does all this mean the doomsday scenario is inexorable? Are the Americans set on a clear game plan, with identified objectives and the means to attain them?

Apparently not. Trump is reportedly receiving divided counsel from his advisers, military and political, some more hawkish and others more cautious than others. Above all, he has an eye on the looming mid-term elections in November. He was elected on a platform of ending the "forever" wars in the Middle East, yet could be on the brink of starting another one, which would not go down well with part of his MAGA base or the public in general. 

The signs are that he was hoping the swashbuckling display of power would intimidate the Iranians into buckling. Witkoff admitted Trump was puzzled that Iran had not capitulated. “Why, under this pressure, with the amount of sea power and naval power over there, why haven’t they come to us and said, ‘We profess we don’t want a weapon, so here’s what we’re prepared to do?’ And, yet, it’s sort of hard to get them to that place,” he told Fox News. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi explained: "It's because we're Iranian."

Trump's adrenalin was clearly set pumping by the adventure in Venezuela, where a similar military buildup culminated in the operation to abduct President Nicolas Maduro. But Iran is not Venezuela. It is a highly militarized regime which has spent 47 years preparing its internal and external defences, and which has different power bases that make it hard simply to decapitate. There is no magic bullet that might not set the region on fire. 

Taking out the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamene'i (who is also a religious leader, and this is Ramadan) would not be likely to bring about a change in regime behavior as in Venezuela. Bringing the regime down altogether would require a prolonged and detailed campaign that the U.S. military machine might not be able to sustain. 

That's where Israel comes in. Some White House advisers reportedly believe it would play better politically for Israel to strike first rather than the U.S., and thus force Iran to retaliate. Like Trump, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is a man with an eye on impending elections (October at the latest) is Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who makes no secret of his ambition to see the Iranian regime brought down. Netanyahu — backed by almost the entire Israeli political spectrum — is clearly champing at the bit, but aware of the danger of being seen to drag the U.S. into a potentially messy embroilment. One reason perhaps for the unusually discreet nature of Netanyahu's sixth visit to the White House on  February 11 — in through the back door, no lovefest press appearances. 

Which may also actually have been a sign that the two allies might not be on the same strategic page. Plunging Iran into fragmentation and chaos would absolutely fit Israel's playbook, but not necessarily America's. The two are working at cross-purposes in Syria, where the Israelis are pushing against a strong central government which the U.S. is supporting, even against its erstwhile Kurdish allies in the north-east. 

If there are two constants in the current equation, they are that the Iranian people’s disillusionment and rage against the regime will not go away, and neither will Israel's desire to overthrow it. But if Trump does not share that goal, he will have to find a face-saving way to wriggle off the hook he has created with his ostentatious military buildup. 

A version of this story was published in this week’s Coda Currents newsletter.Sign up here.

The post The phoney war: Will the U.S. strike a decisive blow against Iran? appeared first on Coda Story.

  •  

Iran summons Ukraine's envoy, warns of 'consequences' over comments on Israeli, US strikes

Iran summons Ukraine's envoy, warns of 'consequences' over comments on Israeli, US strikes

The Iranian Foreign Ministry has summoned the Ukrainian charge d'affaires to protest "inappropriate remarks" by Kyiv regarding recent Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran, the ministry said on July 1.

Tehran threatened Ukraine with unspecified "consequences" should such statements be repeated.

The diplomatic spat follows a wave of Israeli and U.S. air strikes targeting Iran's nuclear program, with Iranian forces attacking Israel and a U.S. base in Qatar in response.

Highlighting Iran's military support for Russian aggression against Ukraine, Kyiv responded by calling for the dismantling of the Iranian nuclear program to prevent it from threatening the Middle East or the wider world.

In response, Shahram Farsaei, head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry's Eurasian affairs department, relayed a protest note to Ukraine via the Ukrainian envoy in Iran, Kyrylo Pozdniakov. The ministry did not specify what exact comments prompted the reaction from the Iranian side.

Tehran also said that Ukrainian officials have "disregarded Ukraine's international legal obligations concerning respect for the principles and purposes of the U.N. Charter as well as the four Geneva Conventions."

Iran has provided ballistic missiles and thousands of Shahed drones to Russia, directly backing its armed aggression in Ukraine, itself launched in violation of international law and the U.N. Charter.

Moscow has backed Iran diplomatically after U.S. and Israeli attacks, urging a response from the U.N. Security Council and calling the attacks an "unprovoked aggression."

Russia-Iran alliance wavers as Tehran suffers major blows
Tehran, Russia’s main ally in the Middle East, has been dealt a heavy blow as Israel dismantled its network of proxies and then struck targets in Iran. The recent Iranian-Israeli war, which ended with a ceasefire on June 24, showed that the regional balance of power has shifted in Israel’s favor. This could have a major impact on Russian-Iranian relations as Moscow will have to recalibrate its approach to the region. Russian-Iranian cooperation is likely to continue but Iran’s ability to help
Iran summons Ukraine's envoy, warns of 'consequences' over comments on Israeli, US strikesThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
Iran summons Ukraine's envoy, warns of 'consequences' over comments on Israeli, US strikes
  •  

Pro-Palestinian activists reportedly destroy military equipment intended for Ukraine

Pro-Palestinian activists reportedly destroy military equipment intended for Ukraine

Around 150 pro-Palestinian activists have broken into a storage facility and damaged military equipment intended for Ukraine, the Belgian news outlet 7sur7 reported on June 26.

The facility belongs to OIP Land Systems, a company that produces military equipment for Ukraine. The activists reportedly thought the equipment would be supplied to Israel.

The activists, who were wearing white overalls and masks, took part in the Stop Arming Israel campaign. The protests seek to pressure Belgian authorities to maintain the military embargo against Israel and impose sanctions on it.

The protesters, armed with hammers and grinders, first entered the company's offices, where they smashed computers, and then broke into the hangars, where they severely damaged some vehicles, Freddy Versluys, CEO of OIP Land Systems, said.

Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, the company has supplied the Ukrainian army with about 260 armored vehicles. The damage caused by the activists' actions is estimated at $1.1 million, according to 7sur7.

"A further delivery has now been delayed by at least a month. That's all these Hamas sympathizers will have achieved with their action," Versluys said.

The company was reportedly targeted by pro-Palestinian protesters because Elbit Systems, an Israeli defense company, owns it.

Protesters believe that Elbit supplies 85% of the drones and most of the ground military equipment used by the Israel Defense Forces, 7sur7 reported.

Yet, the OIP Land Systems CEO claimed that his company has not produced defense systems for Israel for over 20 years.

OIP Land Systems has provided defense products to Ukraine on several occasions, including Leopard 1 tanks, which are manufactured at the Tournai plant.

With no new US aid packages on the horizon, can Ukraine continue to fight Russia?
The U.S. has not announced any military aid packages for Ukraine in almost five months, pushing Kyiv to seek new alternatives. But time is running out quickly as Russian troops slowly advance on the eastern front line and gear up for a new summer offensive. “While Ukraine’s dependence on
Pro-Palestinian activists reportedly destroy military equipment intended for UkraineThe Kyiv IndependentKateryna Hodunova
Pro-Palestinian activists reportedly destroy military equipment intended for Ukraine
  •  

'Treasonous' — Trump, Witkoff slam intel leak undermining US strikes on Iran, insist nuclear targets 'obliterated'

'Treasonous' — Trump, Witkoff slam intel leak undermining US strikes on Iran, insist nuclear targets 'obliterated'

U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff condemned on June 24 the leak of an intelligence assessment that undercuts U.S. President Donald Trump's claims of having "obliterated" Iran's nuclear program.

His remarks follow a leaked U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) assessment, reported by CNN, which found that strikes on three major Iranian nuclear sites, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, did not destroy the core of Tehran's nuclear program. Instead, the intelligence suggests the attacks likely delayed Iran's progress by "a few months."

"It goes without saying that leaking that type of information, whatever the information, whatever side it comes out on, is outrageous. It's treasonous," Witkoff said during an appearance on Fox News. "It ought to be investigated, and whoever is responsible should be held accountable."

Witkoff, who served as Assistant to the U.S. president and led peace mission efforts during the recent conflict between Israel and Iran, defended Trump's portrayal of the U.S.-led strikes as a decisive success.

"The objective was to eliminate enrichment in Iran… and he achieved that objective," Witkoff said, adding that he personally reviewed damage assessments and saw "no doubt" that key nuclear infrastructure was destroyed.

The report leaked in media contradicts public statements from Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who had described the operation as delivering "total obliteration." Trump, for his part, stood by the claim on June 24. "Those targets were obliterated," he said. "That place is demolished."

According to the DIA assessment, though the strikes damaged above-ground infrastructure, most of the centrifuges and the enriched uranium stockpile reportedly remain intact. The assessment also noted that underground sections of the sites, where Iran's most sensitive work is done, were largely unaffected. Two officials told CNN that Iran likely retains operational nuclear facilities that were not targeted.

Witkoff dismissed the report as "preposterous," insisting that the Isfahan conversion facility, critical to Iran's ability to weaponize enriched uranium, was "completely destroyed" by a 30,000-pound bunker buster bomb.

"Without conversion, you can't begin or end enrichment," he said. "They cannot weaponize, even if they've enriched to 90%."

Witkoff also claimed successful targeting of Fordow and Natanz, saying the U.S. dropped more than a dozen bunker busters on the sites that made the facilities inoperable.

The White House acknowledged the assessment’s existence but strongly dismissed it. "This alleged assessment is flat-out wrong and was classified as ‘top secret’ but was still leaked to CNN by an anonymous, low-level loser in the intelligence community," press secretary Karoline Leavitt said.

"The leaking of this alleged assessment is a clear attempt to demean President Trump, and discredit the brave fighter pilots who conducted a perfectly executed mission to obliterate Iran’s nuclear program. Everyone knows what happens when you drop fourteen 30,000 pound bombs perfectly on their targets: total obliteration."

Trump, for his part, stood by his assessment of the mission's success. "I think it’s been completely demolished," he said on June 24. "Those pilots hit their targets. Those targets were obliterated, and the pilots should be given credit.” Asked if Iran could rebuild, Trump responded: "That place is under rock. That place is demolished."

While both Trump and Hegseth praised the strikes as decisive, others expressed caution. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine said it was "way too early" to determine whether Iran retained nuclear capabilities.

Trump says Putin called him to offer help with Iran
“He (Vladimir Putin) said, can I help you with Iran? I said, ‘no, I don’t need help with Iran. I need help with you,’” Donald Trump said.
'Treasonous' — Trump, Witkoff slam intel leak undermining US strikes on Iran, insist nuclear targets 'obliterated'The Kyiv IndependentKateryna Hodunova
'Treasonous' — Trump, Witkoff slam intel leak undermining US strikes on Iran, insist nuclear targets 'obliterated'
  •  
❌